Into Mischief's numbers go down only using his first 3 crops, its why I did lifetime. He stood for cheap and didn't get many mares, Goldencents was his only G1SW from his first 4 crops. Justify's numbers are better than IM but not Gun Runner level. Yes he has one less crop than GR but only 10 less foals that are 3+, when adding the 2yos it gets even closer.flytpthestars wrote: ↑Mon Jun 03, 2024 8:35 pmIM got lots of crops on the ground and maybe it is best to look at the stats with his first 3 crops and see how Justify compares to himFlanders wrote: ↑Mon Jun 03, 2024 7:04 pm Its late in the breeding season, they either raised his stud fee and/or they are being highly selective on the mares they will squeeze into the book. The last time they did that with him, there was a significant price increase. Truly I think he will be at least 300k next year, it could be much higher. Because he has 10 G1 winners, his oldest crop is 5. His numbers are amazing. His G1SW % is twice that of Into Mischief, will that make his stud fee twice as high?
To be fair, I removed both his and Into Mischief's 2yos from the stats, as its still early in the season:
Gun Runner: 365 foals 3+ - 10 G1SWs = 2.7%
Into Mischief: 1579 foals 3+ - 21 G1SWs = 1.3%
Into Mischief - 104 - 1 G1SW = 0.9% (only first 3 crops)
Justify - 355 - 6 G1SWs - 1.69%
These are all super elite level stallions. I was just trying to give reasons why Gun Runner is probably private right now. A lot of stallions in Kentucky are sitting at like 4% for SWs. These 3 are good enough they actually have a G1SW %.
For the heck of it:
Tapit - 1.88%
Curlin - 1.75%